Developed by National Ocean Service (NOS) Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services (CO-OPS)
When initially viewing the product, you are presented with a map displaying coastal NOS water level stations across the East and Gulf coasts. Other areas can be viewed by dragging the map or zooming to the desired location or using the Select Area option at the top. Within the map view, stations that may be experiencing flooding are highlighted by blinking pins on the map and are listed within an expandable banner at the top of the map. Clicking on one of the station markers displays a pop-up with the latest water level observations, tide predictions and (if available) forecast water levels, overlaid upon known flood impact thresholds. Water levels are (by default) displayed relative to the Mean Higher High Water (MHHW) tidal datum, which is the average of the higher of the two high tides in a day. Positive water levels indicate that water is higher than the typical high tide at the station. The pop-up also displays information about future high tides and provides a link to the station Inundation History page where more detailed flooding information is available.
The map view also allows you to toggle on and off additional flood information. Options include:
This view, which provides more detailed, station-specific information is accessible by clicking Inundation History at the bottom of the pop-up displayed when clicking on an NOS station marker on the map view. Initially you will see a view of the latest observed water level data, tide predictions and (if available) forecast water levels, overlaid upon known flood impact thresholds, similar to what is visible in the station pop-up. This page also lets you adjust the date in order to view past water level information. In addition to real-time and historic water observations, the station page also provides tabs with historical inundation information including:
Inundation is the total water level that occurs on normally dry ground as a result of flooding. Along the coast, there are a few common sources of inundation including abnormally high tides, storm surge, persistent onshore winds and waves. In rivers and tidal estuaries, runoff from excessive rainfall can provide another source of inundation. The combination of all of these potential factors including tide factors into the Total Water Level.
Inundation is most commonly referenced to the Mean Higher High Water (MHHW) tidal datum because land above MHHW is dry most of the time, providing users a good understanding of where flooding begins and serves as a good measure of how much additional water is present during an inundation event. In most locations across the U.S., a relationship exists between tidal datums and the land elevation.
Presently, Inundation Dashboard provides current and historical inundation information at water level stations across the East, Gulf and Pacific coasts as well as locations in Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, Hawaii, select Pacific islands and parts of southeast Alaska. The product is available at locations where there is either an established flood impact threshold used by the National Weather Service (NWS) or a National Ocean Service (NOS) derived flood impact threshold based on the methodology outlined in NOAA Technical Report NOS CO-OPS 086 - Patterns and Projections of High Tide Flooding.
Additional locations in Alaska as well as the Great Lakes may be added in the future when a better relationship between observed water level and inundation over land can be established.
Inundation Dashboard primarily uses NOAA’s National Water Level Observation Network (NWLON). The NWLON consists of over 200 long-term water level stations. Different types of instruments are used to measure water levels and the type of sensors is dependent on the conditions at each location. Most locations along the coast utilize either an acoustic or microwave water level sensor as the primary instrument collecting data.
Acoustic sensors use the speed of sound to determine the water level. These sensors send an acoustic pulse (sound wave) from above the water’s surface through a sounding tube enclosed in a stilling well and measure the time it takes for the signal to bounce off the water surface and return to the sensor. The height of the water level can then be inferred from this time measurement.
Microwave sensors sit above the water surface, but do not require a protective enclosure. These sensors measure water levels by emitting a microwave pulse towards the water surface and measure the time it takes for the return pulse to reach the sensor. Similar to acoustic sensors, the water level height can be inferred based on the time it takes for the microwave pulse to return to the sensor.
Most stations have redundant (backup) sensors in the form of a Single Orifice Bubbler Strain Gauge Sensor to ensure continuous data. The bubbler sensors measure the pressure of the water column above the orifice, which can then be translated to a water level height using the water density. These backup sensors can be used to disseminate real-time water level information if the primary sensor is no longer measuring reliable data.
For forecasting purposes to ensure public safety, NOAA has established three coastal flood severity thresholds. The thresholds are based upon water level heights established by local NWS weather forecasting offices based on many years of impact monitoring. All thresholds were established by working with local emergency managers to determine the elevation when a given area begins to be affected by flooding. The thresholds take into account local land cover, topography, the built environment, and human mitigation strategies. Not all locations have an established flood threshold. At those stations, CO-OPS has assigned thresholds based on the analysis detailed in NOAA Technical Report NOS CO-OPS 086 - Patterns and Projections of High Tide Flooding.
Minor Impacts - Low threat of property damage and no direct threat to life.
Moderate Impacts - Elevated threat of property damage and some risk to life if one places themself in unnecessary danger.
Major Impacts - Significant threat to life and property.
Many National Weather Service forecast offices define local inundation impacts from these three thresholds (e.g. road closures, flooding of low level areas, etc.). An example of impacts for the New York City area provided by the Upton, NY forecast office can be found here. Please refer to your individual NWS weather forecast office for specific impact definitions for your area.
The NWS impact thresholds factor in local effects such as seawalls or very localized geography. However in order to compare inundation impacts over large geographic areas, each station has a separate minor flood threshold based on the analysis performed in NOAA Technical Report NOS CO-OPS 086 - Patterns and Projections of High Tide Flooding. These NOS minor flood thresholds are derived using a correlation that was found between the NWS minor flood thresholds and the mean difference between high and low tide at that location. In some instances the NOS minor flood threshold may be lower or higher than the NWS minor flood threshold. Since the NOS thresholds are more consistent across geographical areas, these levels are used when examining historic water level data to determine the number of past flooding events.
Stations blinking on the map indicate that flooding may be occurring or is forecast to possibly occur over the next 48 hours. The specific cause is listed in the pop-up window when clicking on the station marker.
Observed water levels are compared with the NWS minor flood impact level as well as an NOS interpolated minor flood level (which can sometimes be slightly lower than the NWS level). If observed water levels exceed either of these flood levels, the station may be experiencing flooding. In cases where forecast data is available, this same comparison is made with forecast water levels. If water levels are forecast to exceed the minor flood level, the station may experience flooding over the next 48 hours (based on the forecast window).
The station markers will continue to blink until water levels have remained below the minor flood threshold for 13 consecutive hours and/or forecast water levels no longer exceed either minor flood threshold.
Geospatial (mapped) sea level rise information is taken from the NOAA Office of Coastal Management (OCM) Sea Level Rise Viewer. This application makes use of established relationships between tidal datums and land elevation. Using this relationship, you can apply a rise in sea level of 1 foot, 2 feet, etc. (representing a long-term anomaly such as sea level rise, or a short term anomaly such as storm surge) and subtract out the land elevation. Simply put, land areas that fall below the corresponding elevated water level selected will show as flooded, unless they are sheltered by surrounding elevations that are higher.
The water level forecasts are a result of NOS’ Operational Forecast System (OFS). These forecasts consist of the automated integration of observing system data streams, hydrodynamic model predictions, product dissemination and continuous quality-control monitoring. The OFS performs nowcast and short-term (0 hr. - 48 hr.) forecast predictions of several oceanographic parameters (e.g., water levels, currents, salinity, temperature, waves). The OFS models are run four times per day and generates 6-hour nowcasts and 48-hour forecast guidance. After each run of the OFS model the new forecast is updated and shown on the plot.
As of 10/11/2019 11:30 AST, water levels from Cape Hatteras, NC to Montauk, NY including interior portions of the Chesapeake Bay and Delaware Bay are experiencing water levels ranging between 1.5 and 3.0 feet above normal tide levels. In addition to any storm surge associated from Subtropical Storm Melissa, stations across the region are exhibiting geater than normal high tides due to the upcoming full moon.
Winds along mid-Atlantic and northeast coast range between 10 and 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots.
Water Level data are referenced to Mean Higher High Water (MHHW), a measure of the average highest tide in a day. Water levels above MHHW indicate that ground that is typically dry may be flooded. In most cases, the Minor, Moderate and Major flood impact levels displayed for each station have been established by the local National Weather Service (NWS) forecast office. For more information about the definition of these flood levels, please click About at the top of this product.
For additional real-time and historical inundation information for locations affected by this storm, please view the station's Inundation History page. For additional data and station information, please visit the Center for Operational Oceanographic Products & Services website.
For the latest NWS public advisory for this storm, please visit the National Hurricane Center (NHC) website or select Tropical Systems at the top of this product.
No further QuickLooks will be posted for this storm unless oceanographic conditions warrant and/or the National Hurricane Center (NHC) issues a tropical storm watch or warning for the U.S. or its territories.